Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 14.045760 16.397002 18.960834 21.956272 25.351741 29.072797 33.450653
2025-05-11 9.932047 13.093113 16.901024 21.787234 27.847823 35.072368 44.285494
2025-05-18 7.441702 10.831241 15.253703 21.359292 29.469011 39.758914 53.671966
2025-05-25 5.782296 9.174291 13.914121 20.873081 30.652444 43.702806 62.188334
2025-06-01 4.591216 7.881764 12.773203 20.356672 31.549257 47.144596 70.119803
2025-06-08 3.573682 6.625215 11.439955 19.299678 31.442618 49.047228 75.924305
2025-06-15 3.173465 6.269089 11.397144 20.123155 34.102572 55.010353 87.826448
2025-06-22 2.765896 5.816585 11.115851 20.500481 36.062380 60.028206 98.627660
2025-06-29 2.309191 5.183637 10.427579 20.099844 36.705329 63.035532 106.539280
2025-07-06 1.878398 4.511392 9.562128 19.268998 36.521739 64.678894 112.380040
2025-07-13 1.765267 4.458861 9.821016 20.440338 39.793564 72.038261 127.645226
2025-07-20 1.657506 4.396519 10.047131 21.562360 43.050947 79.554431 143.560226
2025-07-27 1.463964 4.129078 9.876734 22.009334 45.313070 85.840311 158.336188
2025-08-03 1.243933 3.756706 9.447162 21.927733 46.656287 90.752425 171.321705
2025-08-10 1.034793 3.357569 8.891156 21.512720 47.319918 94.511507 182.577354
2025-08-17 0.857154 2.991468 8.341193 21.026152 47.774605 97.896451 193.355473
2025-08-24 0.708355 2.661777 7.813649 20.506930 48.091501 101.018237 203.816406
2025-08-31 0.559437 2.283202 7.091642 19.443257 47.169428 101.728056 209.921465
2025-09-07 0.516151 2.227640 7.184214 20.272019 50.280510 110.306816 230.952278
2025-09-14 0.459909 2.111457 7.094713 20.651754 52.453187 117.191074 249.178621
2025-09-21 0.384722 1.902069 6.708194 20.248563 52.862970 120.611755 261.020722
2025-09-28 0.309277 1.661651 6.181741 19.412396 52.207349 121.827365 268.664015
2025-10-05 0.297389 1.674336 6.416201 20.591228 56.281504 132.947270 296.182909